Vice President JD Vance is experiencing a drop in public approval, according to recent polling data. A survey revealed that 41 percent of adults approve of his job performance, while 58 percent disapprove, leaving him with a net negative rating of 17 points.

Approval Rating Trends

The poll, conducted with 1,209 adult Americans via a probability-based panel, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Another poll, surveying 1,201 adults, carried a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points. Vance’s approval has slipped four points, while disapproval has risen by the same amount over approximately two and a half months.

White House Defense and Criticism

As Vice President, Vance has consistently defended White House policies. Speaking alongside the President on March 17, Vance stated the administration was addressing challenges others had avoided. He also addressed criticism, asserting that detractors were attempting to “drive a wedge” between himself and the President.

Vance emphasized their shared stance on Iran, stating, “What the president said consistently going back to 2015, and I agreed with him, is that Iran should not have a nuclear weapon.” He added that any military action was taken “under the president’s leadership.”

Impact on 2028 Presidential Prospects

Vance’s declining approval coincides with a decrease in his predicted chances of securing the GOP nomination for the 2028 presidential race. His odds have fallen from 53 percent six months ago to 37 percent as of March 31, according to the Kalshi prediction market.

Betting Market Analysis

Despite this decline, traditional betting markets still consider Vance a front-runner. Star Sports lists his odds at 4/1, trailing only Gavin Newsom at 7/2. Marco Rubio is close behind at 7/1. On the Democratic side, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is priced at 7/1 overall.

Vance expressed confidence in the President’s ability to complete his term, stating, “Yes, terrible tragedies happen, but I feel very confident the president of the United States is in good shape…and do great things for the American people.” He added, “And if, God forbid, there's a terrible tragedy, I can't think of better on-the-job training than what I've gotten over the last 200 days.”

The coming months will be crucial in determining whether these trends solidify or reverse. Congressional battles, foreign policy developments, and economic news will likely influence voter perceptions of Vance and his association with the administration’s successes or failures.