The narrative suggesting the war with Iran is solely initiated by Israel for its own benefit overlooks significant regional realities. This view discounts the substantial US interest in neutralizing the Iranian threat while ignoring the vital stake other regional nations hold in the conflict's outcome.

The Gulf on the Front Line

The nations of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates face the immediate danger of the conflict. They are geographically situated directly across the Persian Gulf from Iran, placing them on the war's front lines.

Iran's Strategy of Economic Coercion

A core component of Iran's military strategy involves inflicting economic damage upon these Gulf states. The objective is to pressure these nations into urging the United States to halt its military actions.

While the partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz indirectly impacts the US by increasing global energy prices, the direct damage is severe for the Gulf countries. The current military campaign is damaging critical energy infrastructure.

Furthermore, these attacks are eroding the Gulf states' reputation as stable centers for economic growth in a volatile region. Unprovoked drone strikes targeting luxury hotels, airports, oil fields, and data centers concentrate the minds of regional leaders considerably.

Shifting Alliances Post-2019 Attacks

As long as Iran operates under its current regime, it constitutes a grave danger to its neighbors. Previously, these Gulf countries attempted to mitigate the threat by keeping a low profile or even seeking closer ties with Tehran.

Saudi Arabia exemplified this shift after an Iran-backed attack damaged its oil production capacity in 2019. According to reports, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman privately encouraged President Donald Trump to initiate military action, even while publicly advocating for diplomacy.

MBS Urges Escalation

Now, Mohammed bin Salman is reportedly advising Trump to pursue a decisive outcome, including the toppling of the Iranian government. The Saudi leader is reportedly concerned that a premature US withdrawal would leave Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Middle East to face an emboldened and furious Iran alone.

Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to the US recently articulated this stance in The Wall Street Journal. The ambassador stated, "We need a conclusive outcome that addresses Iran’s full range of threats: nuclear capabilities, missiles, drones, terror proxies and blockades of international sea lanes."

Future Security Implications

While Oman maintains its traditional role as a mediator and Qatar remains unpredictable, the outcome of the war will heavily influence regional dynamics. It is highly probable that Gulf states will seek stronger security guarantees from the United States.

This environment may also foster warmer relations with Israel. Israel is actively demonstrating its military capabilities against an Iranian regime unafraid to strike states that have caused it no harm.