The Minnesota Timberwolves are poised to potentially extend their lead over the defending champion Denver Nuggets in Game 4 of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

Timberwolves on the Brink of Upset

Minnesota currently holds a 2-1 series advantage, and Saturday’s game at the Target Center (8:30 p.m. ET) offers a crucial opportunity to move to a commanding 3-1 lead. Their 113-96 victory in Game 3 highlighted a strong defensive and offensive performance.

Jokic’s Struggles and Gordon’s Status

Despite accumulating impressive statistics, Denver’s Nikola Jokic has seen his shooting percentages decline, currently at 40.0% from the field and 20.8% from three-point range, resulting in a -6 net rating. The status of Aaron Gordon, who missed Game 3, remains questionable for Saturday’s matchup.

Murray’s Inconsistent Play

Jamal Murray’s performance has been inconsistent for the Nuggets. He is currently averaging 25.3 points per game on 35.9% field goal percentage and 22.2% from beyond the arc. Minnesota’s defense, led by Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels, is focused on limiting Murray’s impact.

Timberwolves’ Defensive Strategy

Jaden McDaniels is expected to employ full-court pressure to disrupt Murray’s rhythm and limit his scoring opportunities. This defensive scheme is central to Minnesota’s plan to contain Denver’s offense.

Minnesota’s Strengths

Despite Jokic’s potential for a strong performance – he has averaged a triple-double in three of his last four playoff games – the Timberwolves’ overall team strengths give them an advantage. Minnesota ranks sixth in three-point shooting percentage and allows the fewest three-point attempts per game.

Denver’s Defensive Concerns

Denver’s 21st-ranked defensive efficiency raises concerns about their ability to contain Minnesota’s diverse offensive threats. Despite public sentiment favoring Denver, the Timberwolves’ strategic advantages and momentum are significant.

The predicted score is 117-110 in favor of the Timberwolves, solidifying their position as a playoff contender. The Timberwolves are currently +102 on the moneyline.