Sports analyst Will Hill has identified three high-value betting opportunities as the 2026 college football season kicks off. His analysis focuses on coaching patterns and player availability in matchups involving Georgia, Louisville, and Notre Dame .
Kirby Smart's quest to end a 0-15 streak against massive spreads
Georgia head coach Kirby Smart faces a significant statistical hurdle as the 2026 season begins. According to the report by Will Hill via FOX Sports, Smart has struggled immensely against the spread, going 0-15 in his career when favored by 38 points or more. This historical trend makes the Georgia vs. Tennessee State matchup a focal point for bettors looking to see if the streak finally ends.
Tennessee State enters their matchup against Georgia following a series of difficult performances against smaller programs. The report notes that Tennessee State suffered convincing losses last year to UT Martin, Lindenwood, and Gardner Webb. This lack of recent momentum suggests that Georgia may find it easy to cover their large spread, even if Smart's historical trend persists.
Jeff Brohm's 27-15 underdog record and the return of Isaac Brown
Louisville head coach Jeff Brohm brings a proven track record of success when playing as an underdog. As Hill reports, Brohm holds a career record of 27-15 in such situations, making the Cardinals a compelling pick against Ole Miss. This coaching advantage is paired with a revitalized offensive unit ready to challenge the Ole Miss defense.
The Louisville offense features a potent combination of new leadership and returning star power. Quarterback Lincoln Kienholz, a transfer from Ohio State, provides an athletic running threat that should complicate Ole Miss's defensive schemes. Furthermore, running back Isaac Brown returns to full health after a season plagued by injuries in 2025, following his standout 1,000-yard freshman campaign in 2024.
A low-scoring Notre Dame defensive battle at Lambeau Field
Notre Dame is set to open its season at the historic Lambeau Field with championship aspirations. The Irish are targeting a return to the College Football Playoff, and their roster is reportedly deep with future NFL talent on both sides of the ball. This depth is expected to be a deciding factor in their opening game against Wisconsin.
The Notre Dame defense is projected to dominate a Wisconsin offense that is described as limited. Will Hill suggests that the Irish will likely secure a comfortable lead and then utilize clock-management tactics to control the tempo. This strategy points toward a low-scoring affair where the total points stay under the projected line.
Uncertainty for Ole Miss regarding Lincoln Kienholz's transition
While the betting trends favor certain outcomes, several key variables remain unaddressed in the current analysis. It remains unclear how the Ole Miss defense has specifically prepared for Lincoln Kienholz's unique running style following his transition from Ohio State. Additionally, the report does not specify the extent to which the Wisconsin offense can sustain drives against the Notre Dame defensive front, leaving a significant unknown for those betting on the total score.
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