A growing sense of unease is gripping the Labour Party as supporters of Keir Starmer voice concerns about the potential fallout from removing him as leader.

Fears of a Leftward Shift

The central argument being made is that replacing Starmer, especially following potentially disappointing local election results next week, could pave the way for a leader representing a significant move to the left. This scenario is being likened to ‘Labour’s Liz Truss’ – a comparison intended to highlight fears of economic instability and diminished electoral prospects.

Potential contenders like Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband are seen by some as lacking broad appeal and posing economic risks. This could severely damage the party’s chances of success and potentially destabilize the economy.

Poor Polls and Election Predictions

These anxieties are fueled by consistently low poll ratings for the Labour Party under Starmer’s leadership. Experts are predicting substantial losses in the upcoming local elections.

Projected Losses

Estimates suggest Labour could lose up to three-quarters of its current seats, potentially resulting in the loss of as many as 1,850 councillors. The party also faces challenges in Wales, where it is predicted to come third, and in Scotland, where hopes of displacing the SNP are diminishing.

Internal Divisions and External Warnings

The bleak outlook has sparked internal debate about the necessity of a leadership change, despite the inherent risks. A chaotic leadership contest, marked by multiple candidates and deep ideological divides, is a major concern.

An ‘anyone but Ange’ movement is actively campaigning against Angela Rayner, fearing her left-wing policies would negatively impact financial markets and investor confidence.

Former Conservative Prime Minister Sir John Major urged Labour to avoid treating politics as a ‘game show’ and prioritize long-term policy solutions over frequent leadership changes, emphasizing the importance of stability.

Leadership Ambitions and Challenges

Angela Rayner is reportedly lobbying Labour MPs to act now if they intend to challenge Starmer’s leadership, capitalizing on the party’s current vulnerability. However, she faces an ongoing investigation by HM Revenue and Customs regarding unpaid stamp duty.

Ed Miliband, despite his previous electoral defeat in 2015, is also being considered as a potential successor. Health Secretary Wes Streeting is a possible contender, but is considered less likely to succeed against a left-wing candidate. Andy Burnham could also potentially return to Westminster and launch a leadership bid in the future.

The Labour Party is currently facing a critical juncture, grappling with internal divisions, poor electoral prospects, and the potential for a damaging leadership transition.